EPL Title Race: Is it Important to be Christmas Top 3

EPL Title Race: Does Christmas No. 1 guarantee an EPL Title?  

EPL Title Race

EPL Title Race: The English Premier League (EPL) is the most popular football league in Europe. It is the busiest league during the Christmas season. Historically most of the teams that end up winning the English Premier League title were leading at the end of the Christmas period (End of the Year). So, is it Important to be Christmas Top 3? Let’s have a look at what the statistics show.  

English Premier League Champions 

The EPL has been played for 29 complete seasons. This season (2021/2022) is the 30th season. So far 7 Football clubs have won the title with Manchester United holding the record of most titles. Manchester united have won the EPL a record 13 times, being the only club to have won with double digits times. 

Manchester United – 13 Times 

Chelsea – 5 Times 

Manchester City – 5 Times 

Arsenal – 3 Times 

Blackburn Rovers – 1 Time 

Leicester City – 1 Time 

Liverpool – 1 Time 

Champions position at the end of the Christmas period. 

From the data below, most of the teams that have won the EPL title were in the top 3 positions at the end of the Christmas season (End of the Year). There are two outliers to this and we shall look at them in details.  The number of times the champions were in 1st position after the Christmas period is 15 times. Times won when in 2nd position are 9 times and in 3rd position are 3 times. This implies that the chances of becoming champions while in top 3 after Christmas period is 93.1%. The Chances are so high which almost guarantees a title. The Chances of becoming champions while at position 6 is 3.4% (only done once). For position 8 the chances are 3.4% (only Done once). 

English Premier League Champions 

EPL SEASON CHAMPIONS  POSITION END OF CHRISTMAS (END OF YEAR) 
1992/1993 MANCHESTER UNITED 2ND 
1993/1994 MANCHESTER UNITED 1ST 
1994/1995 BLACKBURN ROVERS 1ST 
1995/1996 MANCHESTER UNITED 2ND 
1996/1997 MANCHESTER UNITED 2ND 
1997/1998 ARSENAL 6TH 
1998/1999 MANCHESTER UNITED 3RD 
1999/2000 MANCHESTER UNITED 2ND 
2000/2001 MANCHESTER UNITED 1ST 
2001/2002 ARSENAL 1ST 
2002/2003 MANCHESTER UNITED 3RD 
2003/2004 ARSENAL 2ND 
2004/2005 CHELSEA  1ST 
2005/2006 CHELSEA 1ST 
2006/2007 MANCHESTER UNITED 1ST 
2007/2008 MANCHESTER UNITED 2ND 
2008/2009 MANCHESTER UNITED 3RD 
2009/2010 CHELSEA 1ST 
2010/2011 MANCHESTER UNITED 1ST 
2011/2012 MANCHESTER CITY 1ST 
2012/2013 MANCHESTER UNITED 1ST 
2013/2014 MANCHESTER CITY 2ND 
2014/2015 CHELSEA 1ST 
2015/2016 LEICESTER CITY  2ND 
2016/2017 CHELSEA 1ST 
2017/2018 MANCHESTER CITY 1ST 
2018/2019 MANCHESTER CITY 2ND 
2019/2020 LIVERPOOL 1ST 
2020/2021 MANCHESTER CITY 8TH 
2021/2022 

Details of the 3.4% Chance (Rare Chances)  

The teams that have won the EPL despite not being in the top 3 position after Christmas Period are only two i.e., Arsenal and Manchester City. 

Arsenal Champions 1997/1998 

Arsenal won the EPL title in the season above despite being position 6 at the end of the Christmas Period (End of the Year). They were at position 6 with 34 points having played 20 games. Manchester United were leading the table with 46 points from 21 games. Arsenal won the title that season with 78 points while Manchester United were the runners up with 77 points. This was indeed a rare occasion, despite trailing with 12 points at the end of the Christmas period they became Champions of the season. 

EPL Title Race
EPL Title Race

Manchester City Champions 2020/2021 

This was another rare moment but let’s look at it in details. It’s important to note that the EPL had its fair share of challenges during this season 2020/2021 as a result of the COVID –19 Pandemic. The challenges included postponing of matches, matches being played without fans, among other challenges. Manchester City was in 8th Position having played 14 games with 26 points. They had the same points with 4 other teams who were on top of them in the league standings. Liverpool were the table leaders with 33 points having played 16 games. Manchester City was trailing with 7 points; however, they had two games at hand (which they won). Essentially Manchester City would have been at either position 2 or 3.   

EPL Title Race
EPL Title Race

This implies that there has only been one team in the Premier League history to beat the odds (Is it Important to be Christmas Top 3 for EPL Title Race?). In conclusion, the chances of becoming EPL champions are extremely high (96.5%) when you are in top 3 position at the end of the year.  

Check Getin4 Sports for the Latest new in football and more

Leave a Reply